The Spot Market Circulation Is Moderate, with Morning Premiums Stabilizing [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Published: Feb 12, 2025 11:57
[SMM Spot Copper] During the day, mainstream standard-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to on par with the front-month contract, while high-quality copper was quoted at on par with to a premium of 20 yuan/mt. The market saw relatively small fluctuations today as the price spread between near-month contracts remained around a discount of 200 yuan/mt. Coupled with market expectations for destocking in distant months, suppliers mostly opted to wait for delivery or position themselves for distant months. In the short term, the spot market activity was weak, and premiums are expected to remain relatively stable tomorrow.

SMM, February 12:

Today, spot #1 copper cathode was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to a premium of 20 yuan/mt against the SHFE 2502 contract, with an average price at parity. Compared to the previous trading day, prices remained basically flat. Standard-quality copper traded at 76,600-76,830 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper traded at 76,620-76,850 yuan/mt. The SHFE copper 2502 contract fluctuated upward during the morning session, initially rising slowly from 76,520 yuan/mt to around 76,840 yuan/mt, then slightly declining in the second trading session, and finally dropping to 76,660 yuan/mt before the close. The price spread between the SHFE copper 2502 and 2503 contracts fluctuated between a discount of 180 yuan/mt and 210 yuan/mt.

Spot premiums remained stable as expected during the day, with lackluster market transactions and poor spot liquidity. In the early session, suppliers quoted mainstream standard-quality copper at parity to a premium of 20 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 10-30 yuan/mt. Downstream purchases were mostly on a need-only basis, and suppliers were reluctant to sell at low prices, opting instead to focus on forward-month arrangements. During the main trading session, premiums were basically flat compared to the previous day. Mainstream standard-quality copper was traded at a discount of 20-10 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper was traded at parity to a premium of 20 yuan/mt. Hydro copper saw limited transactions at a discount of around 100 yuan/mt. By 11:00 a.m., spot premiums stabilized.

Market fluctuations were relatively small today, as the price spread between near-month contracts remained around a discount of 200 yuan/mt. Coupled with market expectations for destocking in forward months, suppliers mostly chose to wait for delivery or focus on forward-month arrangements. In the short term, spot market activity remained weak, and spot premiums are expected to remain relatively stable tomorrow without significant volatility.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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